**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
2%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$265 Wol.
5%
22°C
$5 Wol.
50%
23°C
$5 Wol.
50%
24°C
$26 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
27%
27°C
$0 Wol.
27%
28°C
$6 Wol.
26%
29°C
$0 Wol.
26%
30°C
$5 Wol.
23%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$317Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$317Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania