Persistent cloud cover, high atmospheric humidity near 90-95%, and widespread thunderstorms driven by a moist monsoon flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Guangzhou, anchoring the lowest temperature for August 30 near the 24–27 °C range. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread because steering patterns favor continued easterly flow and minimal cold-air advection, with dew points holding in the mid-20s and preventing sharp drops. The closely matched market probabilities around 25–27 °C reflect this model consensus, while the negligible odds below 23 °C or above 28 °C align with historical norms (average low 25.1 °C) and the stabilizing effect of heavy rain and overcast skies that suppress both extremes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact overnight minima as the system evolves overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
24°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$16 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Wol.
50%
24°C
$0 Wol.
26%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
27%
27°C
$19 Wol.
29%
28°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high atmospheric humidity near 90-95%, and widespread thunderstorms driven by a moist monsoon flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Guangzhou, anchoring the lowest temperature for August 30 near the 24–27 °C range. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread because steering patterns favor continued easterly flow and minimal cold-air advection, with dew points holding in the mid-20s and preventing sharp drops. The closely matched market probabilities around 25–27 °C reflect this model consensus, while the negligible odds below 23 °C or above 28 °C align with historical norms (average low 25.1 °C) and the stabilizing effect of heavy rain and overcast skies that suppress both extremes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact overnight minima as the system evolves overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$223Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high atmospheric humidity near 90-95%, and widespread thunderstorms driven by a moist monsoon flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Guangzhou, anchoring the lowest temperature for August 30 near the 24–27 °C range. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread because steering patterns favor continued easterly flow and minimal cold-air advection, with dew points holding in the mid-20s and preventing sharp drops. The closely matched market probabilities around 25–27 °C reflect this model consensus, while the negligible odds below 23 °C or above 28 °C align with historical norms (average low 25.1 °C) and the stabilizing effect of heavy rain and overcast skies that suppress both extremes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact overnight minima as the system evolves overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$223Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high atmospheric humidity near 90-95%, and widespread thunderstorms driven by a moist monsoon flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Guangzhou, anchoring the lowest temperature for August 30 near the 24–27 °C range. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread because steering patterns favor continued easterly flow and minimal cold-air advection, with dew points holding in the mid-20s and preventing sharp drops. The closely matched market probabilities around 25–27 °C reflect this model consensus, while the negligible odds below 23 °C or above 28 °C align with historical norms (average low 25.1 °C) and the stabilizing effect of heavy rain and overcast skies that suppress both extremes. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact overnight minima as the system evolves overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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