Recent rainfall and advection of cooler northern air masses are driving expectations for Chongqing’s overnight minimum on August 29, interrupting a prolonged heatwave. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) converge on a low near 23–25 °C amid widespread rain, with totals of 30–80 mm possible and locally higher, accompanied by gusty winds. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative losses, keeping the range narrow. Close market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of the cold-air surge and rain shield, with new model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
19°C or below 83%
24°C 45%
21°C 44%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
25%
19°C or below 83%
24°C 45%
21°C 44%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and advection of cooler northern air masses are driving expectations for Chongqing’s overnight minimum on August 29, interrupting a prolonged heatwave. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) converge on a low near 23–25 °C amid widespread rain, with totals of 30–80 mm possible and locally higher, accompanied by gusty winds. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative losses, keeping the range narrow. Close market-implied probabilities around 21–24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of the cold-air surge and rain shield, with new model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania