Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Houston overnight lows on August 29 will settle in the upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 78–79°F bin as the market leader at 43% implied probability, consistent with typical late-summer climatology when dew points remain near 75°F. Stable high pressure and the absence of frontal passages or tropical moisture have kept recent model runs steady, supporting the 76–81°F range that collectively exceeds 70% trader weighting while capping odds on sub-75°F outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on August 29?
86°F or higher 67%
67°F or below 57%
78-79°F 50%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
57%
68-69°F
46%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
67%
86°F or higher 67%
67°F or below 57%
78-79°F 50%
72-73°F 49%
67°F or below
57%
68-69°F
46%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Houston overnight lows on August 29 will settle in the upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 78–79°F bin as the market leader at 43% implied probability, consistent with typical late-summer climatology when dew points remain near 75°F. Stable high pressure and the absence of frontal passages or tropical moisture have kept recent model runs steady, supporting the 76–81°F range that collectively exceeds 70% trader weighting while capping odds on sub-75°F outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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