Current forecasts from multiple models and station data indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 29 will settle near 19°C under clearing skies and light northwesterly winds, following the cooler, cloudier conditions that kept the prior day's high near 25°C. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by moderate humidity and dew points around 17–19°C, supports this range, consistent with typical late-August climatology when a high-pressure ridge builds after a trough passage. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 19°C and nearby outcomes, aligns with these official guidance updates from agencies monitoring the Beijing Capital International Airport station, with limited scope for further cooling absent unexpected model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
19°C 52%
16°C 43%
17°C 43%
18°C 41%
14°C or below
17%
15°C
2%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
41%
19°C
52%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 52%
16°C 43%
17°C 43%
18°C 41%
14°C or below
17%
15°C
2%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
41%
19°C
52%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models and station data indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 29 will settle near 19°C under clearing skies and light northwesterly winds, following the cooler, cloudier conditions that kept the prior day's high near 25°C. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by moderate humidity and dew points around 17–19°C, supports this range, consistent with typical late-August climatology when a high-pressure ridge builds after a trough passage. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 19°C and nearby outcomes, aligns with these official guidance updates from agencies monitoring the Beijing Capital International Airport station, with limited scope for further cooling absent unexpected model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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