Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 28?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 Wol.
$29,830 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 Wol.
$29,830 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
$266 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$266 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$164 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$1,234 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$2,621 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$3,357 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$5,316 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$7,394 Wol.
Yes
96-97°F
$5,807 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$2,805 Wol.
No
100°F or higher
$600 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,830Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,830Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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