Recent Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto on August 29 point to a sunny high near 25°C amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, yet trader consensus clusters on 26–27°C amid model uncertainty. Daytime maximum temperatures hinge on net solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C if winds shift onshore. Ensemble spread in short-range guidance, combined with urban heat-island amplification at official observing sites, creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes; any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would favor the lower bin while clearer, drier conditions support the higher. Updated model runs and the afternoon observation window will resolve the difference.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
27°C 41%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto on August 29 point to a sunny high near 25°C amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, yet trader consensus clusters on 26–27°C amid model uncertainty. Daytime maximum temperatures hinge on net solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C if winds shift onshore. Ensemble spread in short-range guidance, combined with urban heat-island amplification at official observing sites, creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes; any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would favor the lower bin while clearer, drier conditions support the higher. Updated model runs and the afternoon observation window will resolve the difference.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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