Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Wol.
$2,207 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Wol.
$2,207 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$55 Wol.
No
11°C
$82 Wol.
No
12°C
$257 Wol.
No
13°C
$724 Wol.
No
14°C
$91 Wol.
No
15°C
$38 Wol.
No
16°C
$439 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$317 Wol.
No
18°C
$69 Wol.
No
19°C
$94 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$40 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,207Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,207Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania