Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a peak near 100°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 100–107°F through late August, well above the 1991–2020 normal of ~95–97°F, while minimal precipitation risk and elevated humidity support heat indices near 107°F without altering actual air temperature. This stability reinforces trader consensus around the 100–101°F bin, though minor model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak trough could still influence the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
100-101°F 65%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
65%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
19%
106-107°F
3%
108°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 65%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
19%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
37%
100-101°F
$72 Wol.
65%
102-103°F
$0 Wol.
11%
104-105°F
$14 Wol.
19%
106-107°F
$0 Wol.
3%
108°F or higher
$20 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a peak near 100°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 100–107°F through late August, well above the 1991–2020 normal of ~95–97°F, while minimal precipitation risk and elevated humidity support heat indices near 107°F without altering actual air temperature. This stability reinforces trader consensus around the 100–101°F bin, though minor model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak trough could still influence the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a peak near 100°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 100–107°F through late August, well above the 1991–2020 normal of ~95–97°F, while minimal precipitation risk and elevated humidity support heat indices near 107°F without altering actual air temperature. This stability reinforces trader consensus around the 100–101°F bin, though minor model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak trough could still influence the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a peak near 100°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent observations show daily highs of 100–107°F through late August, well above the 1991–2020 normal of ~95–97°F, while minimal precipitation risk and elevated humidity support heat indices near 107°F without altering actual air temperature. This stability reinforces trader consensus around the 100–101°F bin, though minor model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any weak trough could still influence the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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