Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 29 under a southwest monsoon flow, with traders splitting nearly evenly between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, combined with high relative humidity (65–95%) and dew points near 25–26°C, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated. Weak west-to-southwest winds further reduce mixing and heat loss. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing overnight readings clustered around 27–28°C at the official station, where urban heat retention and the current trough pattern historically support minima above seasonal averages near 25°C. Minor differences in forecast guidance on shower timing and cloud persistence explain the tight market spread ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
27°C 41%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
41%
28°C
38%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 38%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$120 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$24 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$24 Wol.
1%
25°C
$245 Wol.
6%
26°C
$408 Wol.
11%
27°C
$157 Wol.
41%
28°C
$946 Wol.
38%
29°C
$897 Wol.
9%
30°C
$227 Wol.
2%
31°C
$134 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 29 under a southwest monsoon flow, with traders splitting nearly evenly between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, combined with high relative humidity (65–95%) and dew points near 25–26°C, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated. Weak west-to-southwest winds further reduce mixing and heat loss. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing overnight readings clustered around 27–28°C at the official station, where urban heat retention and the current trough pattern historically support minima above seasonal averages near 25°C. Minor differences in forecast guidance on shower timing and cloud persistence explain the tight market spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,427Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 29 under a southwest monsoon flow, with traders splitting nearly evenly between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, combined with high relative humidity (65–95%) and dew points near 25–26°C, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated. Weak west-to-southwest winds further reduce mixing and heat loss. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing overnight readings clustered around 27–28°C at the official station, where urban heat retention and the current trough pattern historically support minima above seasonal averages near 25°C. Minor differences in forecast guidance on shower timing and cloud persistence explain the tight market spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,427Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 29 under a southwest monsoon flow, with traders splitting nearly evenly between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Persistent cloud cover from scattered showers, combined with high relative humidity (65–95%) and dew points near 25–26°C, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps overnight lows elevated. Weak west-to-southwest winds further reduce mixing and heat loss. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing overnight readings clustered around 27–28°C at the official station, where urban heat retention and the current trough pattern historically support minima above seasonal averages near 25°C. Minor differences in forecast guidance on shower timing and cloud persistence explain the tight market spread ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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