**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a daily minimum of 28°C under a southwest monsoon flow, with regional observations overnight holding near or above that level amid scattered showers and high humidity. Late-August climatology supports this baseline, as typical overnight lows in the territory range 25–28°C during periods of moist, southwesterly flow without significant synoptic cooling. Model guidance shows limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to persistent cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window allowing stronger radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary dropping temperatures below the forecast threshold before midnight readings close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 98%
27°C 2%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$17,665 Wol.
$17,665 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
27°C 2%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$17,665 Wol.
$17,665 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$273 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$397 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$734 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,191 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,940 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,817 Wol.
2%
28°C
$4,924 Wol.
98%
29°C
$4,335 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$377 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a daily minimum of 28°C under a southwest monsoon flow, with regional observations overnight holding near or above that level amid scattered showers and high humidity. Late-August climatology supports this baseline, as typical overnight lows in the territory range 25–28°C during periods of moist, southwesterly flow without significant synoptic cooling. Model guidance shows limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to persistent cloud cover and moisture.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window allowing stronger radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary dropping temperatures below the forecast threshold before midnight readings close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,665Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a daily minimum of 28°C under a southwest monsoon flow, with regional observations overnight holding near or above that level amid scattered showers and high humidity. Late-August climatology supports this baseline, as typical overnight lows in the territory range 25–28°C during periods of moist, southwesterly flow without significant synoptic cooling. Model guidance shows limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to persistent cloud cover and moisture.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window allowing stronger radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary dropping temperatures below the forecast threshold before midnight readings close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,665Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of a daily minimum of 28°C under a southwest monsoon flow, with regional observations overnight holding near or above that level amid scattered showers and high humidity. Late-August climatology supports this baseline, as typical overnight lows in the territory range 25–28°C during periods of moist, southwesterly flow without significant synoptic cooling. Model guidance shows limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to persistent cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window allowing stronger radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary dropping temperatures below the forecast threshold before midnight readings close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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