Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Munich on August 30, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5 % probability for 27 °C and 25.5 % for 26 °C. Westerly flow under partly cloudy skies, modest humidity near 45–55 %, and light winds of 7–13 km/h are expected to limit both extreme heating and cooling while allowing sufficient insolation for temperatures several degrees above the 22.6 °C climatological average. Recent model runs show little spread, with no strong frontal passages or subsidence inversions likely to push readings to 28 °C or higher before sunset. Traders appear to be weighting these stable late-summer conditions and the narrow forecast envelope when assigning the bulk of probability mass between 26 °C and 28 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$127 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$8 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C
$198 Wol.
9%
26°C
$662 Wol.
25%
27°C
$399 Wol.
40%
28°C
$748 Wol.
16%
29°C
$207 Wol.
4%
30°C
$77 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$77 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Munich on August 30, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5 % probability for 27 °C and 25.5 % for 26 °C. Westerly flow under partly cloudy skies, modest humidity near 45–55 %, and light winds of 7–13 km/h are expected to limit both extreme heating and cooling while allowing sufficient insolation for temperatures several degrees above the 22.6 °C climatological average. Recent model runs show little spread, with no strong frontal passages or subsidence inversions likely to push readings to 28 °C or higher before sunset. Traders appear to be weighting these stable late-summer conditions and the narrow forecast envelope when assigning the bulk of probability mass between 26 °C and 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,472Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Munich on August 30, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5 % probability for 27 °C and 25.5 % for 26 °C. Westerly flow under partly cloudy skies, modest humidity near 45–55 %, and light winds of 7–13 km/h are expected to limit both extreme heating and cooling while allowing sufficient insolation for temperatures several degrees above the 22.6 °C climatological average. Recent model runs show little spread, with no strong frontal passages or subsidence inversions likely to push readings to 28 °C or higher before sunset. Traders appear to be weighting these stable late-summer conditions and the narrow forecast envelope when assigning the bulk of probability mass between 26 °C and 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,472Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C in Munich on August 30, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5 % probability for 27 °C and 25.5 % for 26 °C. Westerly flow under partly cloudy skies, modest humidity near 45–55 %, and light winds of 7–13 km/h are expected to limit both extreme heating and cooling while allowing sufficient insolation for temperatures several degrees above the 22.6 °C climatological average. Recent model runs show little spread, with no strong frontal passages or subsidence inversions likely to push readings to 28 °C or higher before sunset. Traders appear to be weighting these stable late-summer conditions and the narrow forecast envelope when assigning the bulk of probability mass between 26 °C and 28 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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