Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 30 will likely settle near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiational cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15°C, with traders weighting model consensus and historical August baselines (average low ~12.6°C) against residual uncertainty in cloud timing and dew-point depression. Minor shifts in forecast guidance on boundary-layer mixing or high-cloud cover could nudge minima a degree either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
12°C or below 32%
14°C 32%
15°C 32%
16°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
32%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
25%
17°C
24%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 32%
14°C 32%
15°C 32%
16°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
32%
13°C
$10 Wol.
29%
14°C
$0 Wol.
32%
15°C
$0 Wol.
32%
16°C
$0 Wol.
25%
17°C
$17 Wol.
24%
18°C
$5 Wol.
14%
19°C
$5 Wol.
2%
20°C
$5 Wol.
1%
21°C
$5 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 30 will likely settle near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiational cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15°C, with traders weighting model consensus and historical August baselines (average low ~12.6°C) against residual uncertainty in cloud timing and dew-point depression. Minor shifts in forecast guidance on boundary-layer mixing or high-cloud cover could nudge minima a degree either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$52Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 30 will likely settle near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiational cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15°C, with traders weighting model consensus and historical August baselines (average low ~12.6°C) against residual uncertainty in cloud timing and dew-point depression. Minor shifts in forecast guidance on boundary-layer mixing or high-cloud cover could nudge minima a degree either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 30 will likely settle near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and modest radiational cooling. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15°C, with traders weighting model consensus and historical August baselines (average low ~12.6°C) against residual uncertainty in cloud timing and dew-point depression. Minor shifts in forecast guidance on boundary-layer mixing or high-cloud cover could nudge minima a degree either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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