**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models points to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 30, driven primarily by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered rain or drizzle associated with a nearby low-pressure system.** High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress surface heating, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal averages rather than allowing peaks above 29°C seen in clearer periods. Model runs show only modest diurnal warming, with afternoon readings clustering around 26–27°C amid 30–60% precipitation chances. This uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing explains the tight market split between 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model divergence or unexpected clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
27°C 33%
28°C 26%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
$11,563 Wol.
$11,563 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
33%
28°C
26%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 26%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
$11,563 Wol.
$11,563 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
33%
28°C
26%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models points to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 30, driven primarily by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered rain or drizzle associated with a nearby low-pressure system.** High humidity and limited solar insolation under overcast skies suppress surface heating, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal averages rather than allowing peaks above 29°C seen in clearer periods. Model runs show only modest diurnal warming, with afternoon readings clustering around 26–27°C amid 30–60% precipitation chances. This uncertainty in exact cloud breaks and rainfall timing explains the tight market split between 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%), while lower probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model divergence or unexpected clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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