Persistent rainy season patterns in Mexico City's high-elevation basin, including frequent afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover, are anchoring trader consensus around 22–24°C for the August 25 high. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daytime peak near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain, consistent with August climatology where solar heating is routinely limited by humidity and storms. Recent model runs show no significant warming trend or dry-air intrusion that would push readings above 24°C, while historical analogs confirm that similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 25°C. This scientific context supports the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 39% as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 39%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
25%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 39%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
17°C
$5 Wol.
2%
18°C
$5 Wol.
2%
19°C
$13 Wol.
2%
20°C
$47 Wol.
5%
21°C
$8 Wol.
11%
22°C
$323 Wol.
25%
23°C
$97 Wol.
39%
24°C
$6 Wol.
22%
25°C
$10 Wol.
5%
26°C or higher
$19 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainy season patterns in Mexico City's high-elevation basin, including frequent afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover, are anchoring trader consensus around 22–24°C for the August 25 high. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daytime peak near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain, consistent with August climatology where solar heating is routinely limited by humidity and storms. Recent model runs show no significant warming trend or dry-air intrusion that would push readings above 24°C, while historical analogs confirm that similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 25°C. This scientific context supports the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 39% as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$533Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainy season patterns in Mexico City's high-elevation basin, including frequent afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover, are anchoring trader consensus around 22–24°C for the August 25 high. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daytime peak near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain, consistent with August climatology where solar heating is routinely limited by humidity and storms. Recent model runs show no significant warming trend or dry-air intrusion that would push readings above 24°C, while historical analogs confirm that similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 25°C. This scientific context supports the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 39% as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$533Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainy season patterns in Mexico City's high-elevation basin, including frequent afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover, are anchoring trader consensus around 22–24°C for the August 25 high. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project a daytime peak near 21–23°C under overcast skies with light rain, consistent with August climatology where solar heating is routinely limited by humidity and storms. Recent model runs show no significant warming trend or dry-air intrusion that would push readings above 24°C, while historical analogs confirm that similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 25°C. This scientific context supports the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 39% as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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