Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 93%
19°C or higher 48%
10°C 36%
17°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
93%
10°C
36%
11°C
19%
12°C
12%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C or higher
48%
9°C or below 93%
19°C or higher 48%
10°C 36%
17°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
93%
10°C
$5 Wol.
36%
11°C
$0 Wol.
19%
12°C
$0 Wol.
12%
13°C
$0 Wol.
19%
14°C
$0 Wol.
19%
15°C
$0 Wol.
19%
16°C
$0 Wol.
19%
17°C
$5 Wol.
36%
18°C
$5 Wol.
36%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 24 point to an overnight low near 12°C, driven by the city's high elevation (around 2,240 m) and typical rainy-season cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling while allowing scattered showers. Recent August minima have clustered between 12–15°C, with model consensus from multiple sources showing little deviation. The market's leading 46% implied probability on 9°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cold pockets, or model spread in a variable monsoon pattern, while the 24% on 19°C or higher prices warmer scenarios if skies clear less than expected. Official station readings will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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