Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 12–13°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, yet market pricing favors 9°C or below as the leader due to uncertainty in convective cooling during the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters amplifies radiative heat loss at night, widening the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can either trap warmth or enhance surface cooling depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind patterns and moisture influx from surrounding highlands, which traders weigh against historical August minima near 12°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around 11–15°C outcomes and the premium on colder thresholds if clearer skies develop overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
9°C or below 76%
10°C 43%
19°C or higher 43%
15°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
76%
10°C
43%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
43%
9°C or below 76%
10°C 43%
19°C or higher 43%
15°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
76%
10°C
$5 Wol.
43%
11°C
$0 Wol.
25%
12°C
$0 Wol.
25%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
37%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
22%
17°C
$5 Wol.
8%
18°C
$5 Wol.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 12–13°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, yet market pricing favors 9°C or below as the leader due to uncertainty in convective cooling during the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters amplifies radiative heat loss at night, widening the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can either trap warmth or enhance surface cooling depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind patterns and moisture influx from surrounding highlands, which traders weigh against historical August minima near 12°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around 11–15°C outcomes and the premium on colder thresholds if clearer skies develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 12–13°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, yet market pricing favors 9°C or below as the leader due to uncertainty in convective cooling during the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters amplifies radiative heat loss at night, widening the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can either trap warmth or enhance surface cooling depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind patterns and moisture influx from surrounding highlands, which traders weigh against historical August minima near 12°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around 11–15°C outcomes and the premium on colder thresholds if clearer skies develop overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Mexico City around 12–13°C for August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, yet market pricing favors 9°C or below as the leader due to uncertainty in convective cooling during the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters amplifies radiative heat loss at night, widening the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover can either trap warmth or enhance surface cooling depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on wind patterns and moisture influx from surrounding highlands, which traders weigh against historical August minima near 12°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around 11–15°C outcomes and the premium on colder thresholds if clearer skies develop overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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