Current forecasts from multiple models place Buenos Aires' August 25 high near 13–15°C amid stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly flow, and extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. With no significant frontal passage or moisture advection expected, the peak hinges on subtle afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; minor variations in simulated cloud thickness or wind speed across ensembles create the tight 14–15°C split reflected in trader positioning. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, but persistent post-polar-air stabilization keeps values suppressed this day, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligning closely to the market's leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 45%
14°C 40%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
40%
15°C
45%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
14°C 40%
16°C 9%
13°C 6%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
40%
15°C
45%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Buenos Aires' August 25 high near 13–15°C amid stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly flow, and extensive low- to mid-level cloud cover that limits surface heating. With no significant frontal passage or moisture advection expected, the peak hinges on subtle afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; minor variations in simulated cloud thickness or wind speed across ensembles create the tight 14–15°C split reflected in trader positioning. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, but persistent post-polar-air stabilization keeps values suppressed this day, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance aligning closely to the market's leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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