Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C overnight into August 27 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 18°C and 19°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly to southerly winds are limiting radiative cooling while maintaining humid conditions that keep overnight lows above seasonal norms. Late-summer Atlantic flow introduces modest uncertainty in timing and intensity of any clearing, potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C or holding near 19°C depending on exact frontal passage. Historical late-August minima in London average near 14–15°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline and the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 27?
Lowest temperature in London on August 27?
19°C 39%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
16°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
34%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 39%
18°C 34%
20°C 14%
16°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
5%
14°C
$0 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
7%
16°C
$0 Wol.
10%
17°C
$0 Wol.
10%
18°C
$158 Wol.
34%
19°C
$269 Wol.
39%
20°C
$59 Wol.
14%
21°C
$50 Wol.
6%
22°C
$0 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C overnight into August 27 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 18°C and 19°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly to southerly winds are limiting radiative cooling while maintaining humid conditions that keep overnight lows above seasonal norms. Late-summer Atlantic flow introduces modest uncertainty in timing and intensity of any clearing, potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C or holding near 19°C depending on exact frontal passage. Historical late-August minima in London average near 14–15°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline and the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$535Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C overnight into August 27 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 18°C and 19°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly to southerly winds are limiting radiative cooling while maintaining humid conditions that keep overnight lows above seasonal norms. Late-summer Atlantic flow introduces modest uncertainty in timing and intensity of any clearing, potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C or holding near 19°C depending on exact frontal passage. Historical late-August minima in London average near 14–15°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline and the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$535Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 17–19°C overnight into August 27 as the dominant driver of trader positioning, with 18°C and 19°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly to southerly winds are limiting radiative cooling while maintaining humid conditions that keep overnight lows above seasonal norms. Late-summer Atlantic flow introduces modest uncertainty in timing and intensity of any clearing, potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C or holding near 19°C depending on exact frontal passage. Historical late-August minima in London average near 14–15°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline and the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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