**Forecast models for August 27 point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv of 25–26°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** Coastal location moderates nighttime cooling through warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures typical of late summer, while light winds and limited cloud cover allow modest radiative heat loss. A slight cooling trend noted by the Israel Meteorological Service, with reduced heat-stress indices especially northward, has nudged expectations downward from recent peaks yet keeps values well above climatological early-August averages near 24°C. Short-range guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office (26°C minimum) and other ensembles (25°C) aligns with this range; small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, or model resolution create the observed spread among 24–27°C probabilities. Clear or partly cloudy conditions are expected, with no precipitation to alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
27°C 48%
21°C 46%
22°C 41%
28°C 35%
20°C or below
10%
21°C
46%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
35%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
29%
27°C 48%
21°C 46%
22°C 41%
28°C 35%
20°C or below
10%
21°C
46%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
35%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for August 27 point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv of 25–26°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** Coastal location moderates nighttime cooling through warm Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures typical of late summer, while light winds and limited cloud cover allow modest radiative heat loss. A slight cooling trend noted by the Israel Meteorological Service, with reduced heat-stress indices especially northward, has nudged expectations downward from recent peaks yet keeps values well above climatological early-August averages near 24°C. Short-range guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office (26°C minimum) and other ensembles (25°C) aligns with this range; small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, or model resolution create the observed spread among 24–27°C probabilities. Clear or partly cloudy conditions are expected, with no precipitation to alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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