Current forecast models from multiple sources, including ensemble runs and regional simulations, indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light westerly flow for Tel Aviv, with the daily minimum expected near 22–24 °C on August 25. Stable high pressure, low humidity after sunset, and minimal cloud cover support radiative cooling to these levels, consistent with climatological norms of roughly 23–24 °C lows. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-trapping moisture are projected in the next 48 hours that would elevate the minimum toward 28 °C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 28 °C+ (43 %) alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25 °C therefore reflect trader weighting of model spread and historical variability rather than a consensus forecast shift, with resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
28°C or higher 86%
24°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
86%
28°C or higher 86%
24°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$200 Wol.
1%
19°C
$119 Wol.
5%
20°C
$75 Wol.
20%
21°C
$6 Wol.
9%
22°C
$0 Wol.
27%
23°C
$0 Wol.
27%
24°C
$0 Wol.
27%
25°C
$0 Wol.
25%
26°C
$25 Wol.
4%
27°C
$20 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Wol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources, including ensemble runs and regional simulations, indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light westerly flow for Tel Aviv, with the daily minimum expected near 22–24 °C on August 25. Stable high pressure, low humidity after sunset, and minimal cloud cover support radiative cooling to these levels, consistent with climatological norms of roughly 23–24 °C lows. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-trapping moisture are projected in the next 48 hours that would elevate the minimum toward 28 °C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 28 °C+ (43 %) alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25 °C therefore reflect trader weighting of model spread and historical variability rather than a consensus forecast shift, with resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$585Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources, including ensemble runs and regional simulations, indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light westerly flow for Tel Aviv, with the daily minimum expected near 22–24 °C on August 25. Stable high pressure, low humidity after sunset, and minimal cloud cover support radiative cooling to these levels, consistent with climatological norms of roughly 23–24 °C lows. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-trapping moisture are projected in the next 48 hours that would elevate the minimum toward 28 °C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 28 °C+ (43 %) alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25 °C therefore reflect trader weighting of model spread and historical variability rather than a consensus forecast shift, with resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$585Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources, including ensemble runs and regional simulations, indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light westerly flow for Tel Aviv, with the daily minimum expected near 22–24 °C on August 25. Stable high pressure, low humidity after sunset, and minimal cloud cover support radiative cooling to these levels, consistent with climatological norms of roughly 23–24 °C lows. No significant synoptic shifts or heat-trapping moisture are projected in the next 48 hours that would elevate the minimum toward 28 °C or higher. Market-implied odds favoring 28 °C+ (43 %) alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25 °C therefore reflect trader weighting of model spread and historical variability rather than a consensus forecast shift, with resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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