**Recent search efforts for MH370 have come up empty, driving near-certain trader consensus on “No.”** The latest Ocean Infinity seabed campaign, conducted under a “no-find, no-fee” deal in the highest-probability southern Indian Ocean zone, wrapped in January 2026 after surveying roughly 7,571 square kilometers across two phases with no confirmed aircraft debris or wreckage field located. Malaysia’s Air Accident Investigation Bureau formally notified families in March 2026 that operations had yielded nothing, and active searching has since paused amid seasonal weather constraints in the southern hemisphere. With the contract window closing June 30, 2026—just twelve days from now—and no resumed operations underway, the window for a last-minute discovery is effectively closed. Extensive prior mapping (over 140,000 square kilometers cumulatively) and the absence of new high-confidence leads reinforce the market-implied 98.4% probability on “No.” **Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow.** An unforeseen private expedition, breakthrough analysis of existing data, or rapid mobilization before the deadline could theoretically shift the outcome, though none are currently indicated by official statements, contract terms, or reported developments. Traders view these as low-probability tail risks given the timeline and operational realities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
$125,901 Wol.
$125,901 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$125,901 Wol.
$125,901 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent search efforts for MH370 have come up empty, driving near-certain trader consensus on “No.”** The latest Ocean Infinity seabed campaign, conducted under a “no-find, no-fee” deal in the highest-probability southern Indian Ocean zone, wrapped in January 2026 after surveying roughly 7,571 square kilometers across two phases with no confirmed aircraft debris or wreckage field located. Malaysia’s Air Accident Investigation Bureau formally notified families in March 2026 that operations had yielded nothing, and active searching has since paused amid seasonal weather constraints in the southern hemisphere.
With the contract window closing June 30, 2026—just twelve days from now—and no resumed operations underway, the window for a last-minute discovery is effectively closed. Extensive prior mapping (over 140,000 square kilometers cumulatively) and the absence of new high-confidence leads reinforce the market-implied 98.4% probability on “No.”
**Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow.** An unforeseen private expedition, breakthrough analysis of existing data, or rapid mobilization before the deadline could theoretically shift the outcome, though none are currently indicated by official statements, contract terms, or reported developments. Traders view these as low-probability tail risks given the timeline and operational realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$125,901Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent search efforts for MH370 have come up empty, driving near-certain trader consensus on “No.”** The latest Ocean Infinity seabed campaign, conducted under a “no-find, no-fee” deal in the highest-probability southern Indian Ocean zone, wrapped in January 2026 after surveying roughly 7,571 square kilometers across two phases with no confirmed aircraft debris or wreckage field located. Malaysia’s Air Accident Investigation Bureau formally notified families in March 2026 that operations had yielded nothing, and active searching has since paused amid seasonal weather constraints in the southern hemisphere.
With the contract window closing June 30, 2026—just twelve days from now—and no resumed operations underway, the window for a last-minute discovery is effectively closed. Extensive prior mapping (over 140,000 square kilometers cumulatively) and the absence of new high-confidence leads reinforce the market-implied 98.4% probability on “No.”
**Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow.** An unforeseen private expedition, breakthrough analysis of existing data, or rapid mobilization before the deadline could theoretically shift the outcome, though none are currently indicated by official statements, contract terms, or reported developments. Traders view these as low-probability tail risks given the timeline and operational realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$125,901Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent search efforts for MH370 have come up empty, driving near-certain trader consensus on “No.”** The latest Ocean Infinity seabed campaign, conducted under a “no-find, no-fee” deal in the highest-probability southern Indian Ocean zone, wrapped in January 2026 after surveying roughly 7,571 square kilometers across two phases with no confirmed aircraft debris or wreckage field located. Malaysia’s Air Accident Investigation Bureau formally notified families in March 2026 that operations had yielded nothing, and active searching has since paused amid seasonal weather constraints in the southern hemisphere. With the contract window closing June 30, 2026—just twelve days from now—and no resumed operations underway, the window for a last-minute discovery is effectively closed. Extensive prior mapping (over 140,000 square kilometers cumulatively) and the absence of new high-confidence leads reinforce the market-implied 98.4% probability on “No.” **Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow.** An unforeseen private expedition, breakthrough analysis of existing data, or rapid mobilization before the deadline could theoretically shift the outcome, though none are currently indicated by official statements, contract terms, or reported developments. Traders view these as low-probability tail risks given the timeline and operational realities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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