Puigdemont remains in Belgian exile as of mid-2026, with traders assigning a 74.5% chance he stays out of Spain for the rest of the year. Persistent Supreme Court resistance to applying the full amnesty law keeps arrest warrants active for rebellion and related charges tied to the 2017 referendum, despite a July 2026 EU Court of Justice ruling upholding the legislation’s legality. His brief 2024 Barcelona appearance—where he spoke at a rally before evading capture and returning to Waterloo—highlighted the personal and legal risks, reinforcing a cautious approach. Ongoing political negotiations in Catalonia and Madrid have not produced the judicial or parliamentary breakthroughs needed for a safe, permanent return, leaving the frontrunner status with “No” amid high uncertainty around timing and enforcement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano26% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
26% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Puigdemont remains in Belgian exile as of mid-2026, with traders assigning a 74.5% chance he stays out of Spain for the rest of the year. Persistent Supreme Court resistance to applying the full amnesty law keeps arrest warrants active for rebellion and related charges tied to the 2017 referendum, despite a July 2026 EU Court of Justice ruling upholding the legislation’s legality. His brief 2024 Barcelona appearance—where he spoke at a rally before evading capture and returning to Waterloo—highlighted the personal and legal risks, reinforcing a cautious approach. Ongoing political negotiations in Catalonia and Madrid have not produced the judicial or parliamentary breakthroughs needed for a safe, permanent return, leaving the frontrunner status with “No” amid high uncertainty around timing and enforcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,845Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Puigdemont remains in Belgian exile as of mid-2026, with traders assigning a 74.5% chance he stays out of Spain for the rest of the year. Persistent Supreme Court resistance to applying the full amnesty law keeps arrest warrants active for rebellion and related charges tied to the 2017 referendum, despite a July 2026 EU Court of Justice ruling upholding the legislation’s legality. His brief 2024 Barcelona appearance—where he spoke at a rally before evading capture and returning to Waterloo—highlighted the personal and legal risks, reinforcing a cautious approach. Ongoing political negotiations in Catalonia and Madrid have not produced the judicial or parliamentary breakthroughs needed for a safe, permanent return, leaving the frontrunner status with “No” amid high uncertainty around timing and enforcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Wolumen
$1,845Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Puigdemont remains in Belgian exile as of mid-2026, with traders assigning a 74.5% chance he stays out of Spain for the rest of the year. Persistent Supreme Court resistance to applying the full amnesty law keeps arrest warrants active for rebellion and related charges tied to the 2017 referendum, despite a July 2026 EU Court of Justice ruling upholding the legislation’s legality. His brief 2024 Barcelona appearance—where he spoke at a rally before evading capture and returning to Waterloo—highlighted the personal and legal risks, reinforcing a cautious approach. Ongoing political negotiations in Catalonia and Madrid have not produced the judicial or parliamentary breakthroughs needed for a safe, permanent return, leaving the frontrunner status with “No” amid high uncertainty around timing and enforcement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania