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icon for Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

icon for Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

$575,558 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$575,558 Wol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$189,730 Wol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure as Spain’s minority Socialist government grapples with corruption convictions of senior allies, including the June 2026 Supreme Court sentencing of former Transport Minister José Luis Ábalos to 24 years, alongside probes touching his wife and party financing.** Parliamentary arithmetic has deteriorated since Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing governance under repeated roll-over of the 2023 budget and blocking new spending plans. The late-July 2026 mass migrant influx into Ceuta, exceeding 70,000 crossings, has intensified criticism after September document releases contradicted government claims of no advance warning and fueled opposition demands for accountability. Sánchez has rejected resignation calls, including a non-binding June congressional resolution, and signals intent to reach the 2027 general election. Trader assessments hinge on whether further ally defections, failed legislative efforts, or prolonged Ceuta fallout erode his remaining coalition tolerance before scheduled polls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$575,558
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure as Spain’s minority Socialist government grapples with corruption convictions of senior allies, including the June 2026 Supreme Court sentencing of former Transport Minister José Luis Ábalos to 24 years, alongside probes touching his wife and party financing.** Parliamentary arithmetic has deteriorated since Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing governance under repeated roll-over of the 2023 budget and blocking new spending plans. The late-July 2026 mass migrant influx into Ceuta, exceeding 70,000 crossings, has intensified criticism after September document releases contradicted government claims of no advance warning and fueled opposition demands for accountability. Sánchez has rejected resignation calls, including a non-binding June congressional resolution, and signals intent to reach the 2027 general election. Trader assessments hinge on whether further ally defections, failed legislative efforts, or prolonged Ceuta fallout erode his remaining coalition tolerance before scheduled polls.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$575,558
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31, 2026" z 15%, za nim "June 30, 2026" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 15¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 15% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?" wygenerował $575.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 2, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?" jest "December 31, 2026" z 15%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 15% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "June 30, 2026" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.