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icon for Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?

Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?

icon for Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?

Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?

NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$448 Wol.

Polymarket

December 31

$188 Wol.

16%

June 30

$260 Wol.

28%

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**General Assimi Goïta consolidated his position in July 2025 when Mali’s National Transitional Council approved a five-year presidential mandate renewable indefinitely without elections, extending his rule until at least 2030.** This followed the indefinite suspension of political party activities in May 2025 and the military junta’s full control over key institutions. In late April 2026, coordinated insurgent attacks by the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM targeted military sites near Bamako; Goïta briefly went out of public view before reappearing and assuming the defense minister role after the incumbent’s death. These events, combined with ongoing counter-insurgency operations and alignment within the Alliance of Sahel States, have reinforced the junta’s grip, with no scheduled elections or constitutional transition mechanisms currently in place that would alter the leadership before the mandate’s end.

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$448
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**General Assimi Goïta consolidated his position in July 2025 when Mali’s National Transitional Council approved a five-year presidential mandate renewable indefinitely without elections, extending his rule until at least 2030.** This followed the indefinite suspension of political party activities in May 2025 and the military junta’s full control over key institutions. In late April 2026, coordinated insurgent attacks by the Azawad Liberation Front and JNIM targeted military sites near Bamako; Goïta briefly went out of public view before reappearing and assuming the defense minister role after the incumbent’s death. These events, combined with ongoing counter-insurgency operations and alignment within the Alliance of Sahel States, have reinforced the junta’s grip, with no scheduled elections or constitutional transition mechanisms currently in place that would alter the leadership before the mandate’s end.

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$448
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Assimi Goïta, and the Government of Mali; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "June 30" z 28%, za nim "December 31" z 14%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 28¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 10, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?" jest "June 30" z 28%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "December 31" z 14%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.