Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichigan Secretary of State Election Winner
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
85%
Anthony Forlini (R)
15%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
$2,133 Wol.
85%
Anthony Forlini (R)
$1,694 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,827Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Wolumen
$3,827Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because his eight years as lieutenant governor under a popular Democratic governor provide broad name recognition and a proven statewide profile, while Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, a Macomb County clerk, entered the general election with lower visibility. A late-August to early-September poll showed Gilchrist ahead 42-36% among likely voters and 46-36% among definite voters, with a sizable undecided share. Democrats secured the nomination at their August convention after earlier delegate support, and Gilchrist maintains a fundraising edge. The November 3 contest remains subject to turnout patterns, the October 8 debate, and any late shifts in Michigan’s competitive political environment. Minor-party candidates on the ballot account for the remaining market options priced near 50%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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