Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with multiple reports indicating serious injuries sustained in the same attacks and decision-making authority increasingly shared with senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders. Official statements attributed to him in late April addressed management of the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy, while a May appointment of a new chief of staff signaled efforts to consolidate his immediate circle. These factors, combined with the regime’s wartime posture and internal elite competition, shape trader assessments of any potential relocation outside Iran.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,163,236 Wol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
3%
$1,163,236 Wol.
May 31
$121,902 Wol.
1%
June 30
$69,724 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with multiple reports indicating serious injuries sustained in the same attacks and decision-making authority increasingly shared with senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders. Official statements attributed to him in late April addressed management of the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy, while a May appointment of a new chief of staff signaled efforts to consolidate his immediate circle. These factors, combined with the regime’s wartime posture and internal elite competition, shape trader assessments of any potential relocation outside Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,163,236Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with multiple reports indicating serious injuries sustained in the same attacks and decision-making authority increasingly shared with senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders. Official statements attributed to him in late April addressed management of the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy, while a May appointment of a new chief of staff signaled efforts to consolidate his immediate circle. These factors, combined with the regime’s wartime posture and internal elite competition, shape trader assessments of any potential relocation outside Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,163,236Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in early March 2026 following his father’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened the current conflict. He has issued no verified public appearances since, with multiple reports indicating serious injuries sustained in the same attacks and decision-making authority increasingly shared with senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders. Official statements attributed to him in late April addressed management of the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear policy, while a May appointment of a new chief of staff signaled efforts to consolidate his immediate circle. These factors, combined with the regime’s wartime posture and internal elite competition, shape trader assessments of any potential relocation outside Iran.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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