James Harden's decision to opt out of his $42.3 million player option and negotiate a new multiyear deal with the Cleveland Cavaliers drives the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability for that outcome. The 11-time All-Star was acquired at the February trade deadline in a deal sending Darius Garland to the Clippers, then helped Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference Finals alongside Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley. Reports confirm an understanding existed before the trade that Harden would return, with both sides structuring the contract to preserve salary-cap flexibility. Other destinations remain below 3% as no comparable interest or roster fits have surfaced. A sudden rival offer or stalled talks could theoretically shift the market, though current reporting shows no such developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.8%
Golden State Warriors 2.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,084 Wol.
$1,294,084 Wol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.8%
Golden State Warriors 2.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,084 Wol.
$1,294,084 Wol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Harden's decision to opt out of his $42.3 million player option and negotiate a new multiyear deal with the Cleveland Cavaliers drives the overwhelming 97.8% implied probability for that outcome. The 11-time All-Star was acquired at the February trade deadline in a deal sending Darius Garland to the Clippers, then helped Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference Finals alongside Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley. Reports confirm an understanding existed before the trade that Harden would return, with both sides structuring the contract to preserve salary-cap flexibility. Other destinations remain below 3% as no comparable interest or roster fits have surfaced. A sudden rival offer or stalled talks could theoretically shift the market, though current reporting shows no such developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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