Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, general election race, reflecting his uncontested Democratic primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent's near-zero balance, and the "Likely D" rating from Sabato's Crystal Ball as of early September. Republican nominee Jim Marchant, who secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary despite limited resources and opposition from Governor Joe Lombardo's preferred candidate, brings name recognition from the 2022 rematch but faces structural headwinds in a contest that also includes third-party options. Traders appear to weigh Aguilar's incumbency and record of managing election administration alongside Nevada's recent voting patterns, while viewing Marchant's platform focused on voting system changes as a narrower appeal factor in the current environment. The race timeline through early November leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence final margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$745 Wol.
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
$220 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, general election race, reflecting his uncontested Democratic primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent's near-zero balance, and the "Likely D" rating from Sabato's Crystal Ball as of early September. Republican nominee Jim Marchant, who secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary despite limited resources and opposition from Governor Joe Lombardo's preferred candidate, brings name recognition from the 2022 rematch but faces structural headwinds in a contest that also includes third-party options. Traders appear to weigh Aguilar's incumbency and record of managing election administration alongside Nevada's recent voting patterns, while viewing Marchant's platform focused on voting system changes as a narrower appeal factor in the current environment. The race timeline through early November leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Wolumen
$965Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, general election race, reflecting his uncontested Democratic primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent's near-zero balance, and the "Likely D" rating from Sabato's Crystal Ball as of early September. Republican nominee Jim Marchant, who secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary despite limited resources and opposition from Governor Joe Lombardo's preferred candidate, brings name recognition from the 2022 rematch but faces structural headwinds in a contest that also includes third-party options. Traders appear to weigh Aguilar's incumbency and record of managing election administration alongside Nevada's recent voting patterns, while viewing Marchant's platform focused on voting system changes as a narrower appeal factor in the current environment. The race timeline through early November leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Wolumen
$965Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, general election race, reflecting his uncontested Democratic primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent's near-zero balance, and the "Likely D" rating from Sabato's Crystal Ball as of early September. Republican nominee Jim Marchant, who secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary despite limited resources and opposition from Governor Joe Lombardo's preferred candidate, brings name recognition from the 2022 rematch but faces structural headwinds in a contest that also includes third-party options. Traders appear to weigh Aguilar's incumbency and record of managing election administration alongside Nevada's recent voting patterns, while viewing Marchant's platform focused on voting system changes as a narrower appeal factor in the current environment. The race timeline through early November leaves room for standard campaign developments to influence final margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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