Recent CDC and WHO surveillance shows SARS-CoV-2 circulation remains low and stable globally, with U.S. emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.3% despite a modest summer uptick and Rt near 1.08. Official reports indicate limited hospitalizations (under 1,500 new cases across monitored countries in late July) and no variants of concern meeting criteria for heightened severity or immune escape beyond Omicron sublineages like XFG. This endemic pattern, backed by consistent genomic and sentinel data, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against a new pandemic declaration in 2026. A realistic shift would require emergence of a substantially more virulent strain causing rapid, widespread severe outcomes exceeding current thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4% szansa
$23,240 Wol.
$23,240 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$23,240 Wol.
$23,240 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Recent CDC and WHO surveillance shows SARS-CoV-2 circulation remains low and stable globally, with U.S. emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.3% despite a modest summer uptick and Rt near 1.08. Official reports indicate limited hospitalizations (under 1,500 new cases across monitored countries in late July) and no variants of concern meeting criteria for heightened severity or immune escape beyond Omicron sublineages like XFG. This endemic pattern, backed by consistent genomic and sentinel data, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against a new pandemic declaration in 2026. A realistic shift would require emergence of a substantially more virulent strain causing rapid, widespread severe outcomes exceeding current thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,240Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Recent CDC and WHO surveillance shows SARS-CoV-2 circulation remains low and stable globally, with U.S. emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.3% despite a modest summer uptick and Rt near 1.08. Official reports indicate limited hospitalizations (under 1,500 new cases across monitored countries in late July) and no variants of concern meeting criteria for heightened severity or immune escape beyond Omicron sublineages like XFG. This endemic pattern, backed by consistent genomic and sentinel data, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against a new pandemic declaration in 2026. A realistic shift would require emergence of a substantially more virulent strain causing rapid, widespread severe outcomes exceeding current thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Wolumen
$23,240Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent CDC and WHO surveillance shows SARS-CoV-2 circulation remains low and stable globally, with U.S. emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.3% despite a modest summer uptick and Rt near 1.08. Official reports indicate limited hospitalizations (under 1,500 new cases across monitored countries in late July) and no variants of concern meeting criteria for heightened severity or immune escape beyond Omicron sublineages like XFG. This endemic pattern, backed by consistent genomic and sentinel data, underpins the 96% market-implied odds against a new pandemic declaration in 2026. A realistic shift would require emergence of a substantially more virulent strain causing rapid, widespread severe outcomes exceeding current thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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