Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game in production by June 30, 2026, driven by late-April leaks like a "hlx_physics_particle_spawner" reference in CS2 beta files—HLX long rumored as Half-Life 3 codename—and a deleted podcast clip from a Valve artist claiming to have seen its office setup. These fuel speculation tied to the delayed Steam Machine (Deck successor) launch, now projected later in 2026 amid RAM shortages, but traders remain cautious given Valve's "Valve Time" history of unfulfilled hype since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020 and no official confirmation. Watch Summer Game Fest in early June for potential reveals, as the franchise demands explicit "Half-Life" branding per market rules.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Half-Life game by...?
New Half-Life game by...?
$16,356 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
21%
$16,356 Wol.
June 30, 2026
$4,191 Wol.
21%
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game in production by June 30, 2026, driven by late-April leaks like a "hlx_physics_particle_spawner" reference in CS2 beta files—HLX long rumored as Half-Life 3 codename—and a deleted podcast clip from a Valve artist claiming to have seen its office setup. These fuel speculation tied to the delayed Steam Machine (Deck successor) launch, now projected later in 2026 amid RAM shortages, but traders remain cautious given Valve's "Valve Time" history of unfulfilled hype since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020 and no official confirmation. Watch Summer Game Fest in early June for potential reveals, as the franchise demands explicit "Half-Life" branding per market rules.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,356Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game in production by June 30, 2026, driven by late-April leaks like a "hlx_physics_particle_spawner" reference in CS2 beta files—HLX long rumored as Half-Life 3 codename—and a deleted podcast clip from a Valve artist claiming to have seen its office setup. These fuel speculation tied to the delayed Steam Machine (Deck successor) launch, now projected later in 2026 amid RAM shortages, but traders remain cautious given Valve's "Valve Time" history of unfulfilled hype since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020 and no official confirmation. Watch Summer Game Fest in early June for potential reveals, as the franchise demands explicit "Half-Life" branding per market rules.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Wolumen
$16,356Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game in production by June 30, 2026, driven by late-April leaks like a "hlx_physics_particle_spawner" reference in CS2 beta files—HLX long rumored as Half-Life 3 codename—and a deleted podcast clip from a Valve artist claiming to have seen its office setup. These fuel speculation tied to the delayed Steam Machine (Deck successor) launch, now projected later in 2026 amid RAM shortages, but traders remain cautious given Valve's "Valve Time" history of unfulfilled hype since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020 and no official confirmation. Watch Summer Game Fest in early June for potential reveals, as the franchise demands explicit "Half-Life" branding per market rules.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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