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Polityka·Wybory We Francji

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polityka·Wybory We Francji

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

NOWE
Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$2,952 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 Wol.

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 Wol.

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Wol.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 Wol.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 Wol.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Wol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Wol.

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Wol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Wol.

24%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Wol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Wol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Wol.

21%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Wol.

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Wol.

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 Wol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 Wol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Wol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Wol.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Wol.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 Wol.

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Wol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Wol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Wol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Wol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Wol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Wol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Wol.

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 Wol.

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 Wol.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Wol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Wol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Wol.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Wol.

35%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Wol.

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Wol.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Wol.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Wol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$2,952
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$2,952
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 37 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jordan Bardella" z 80%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 46%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 80¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", przeglądaj 37 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" jest "Jordan Bardella" z 80%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 46%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.