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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 Wol.

Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$23,309 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 Wol.

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 Wol.

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 Wol.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 Wol.

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 Wol.

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Wol.

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 Wol.

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 Wol.

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 Wol.

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Wol.

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Wol.

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 Wol.

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 Wol.

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 Wol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Wol.

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Wol.

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 Wol.

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 Wol.

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Wol.

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 Wol.

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 Wol.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 Wol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 Wol.

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 Wol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 Wol.

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 Wol.

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 Wol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 Wol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Wol.

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 Wol.

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 Wol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 Wol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 Wol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 Wol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 Wol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Wol.

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$23,309
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$23,309
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 36 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jordan Bardella" z 73%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 73¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 73% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" wygenerował $23.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?", przeglądaj 36 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" jest "Jordan Bardella" z 73%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 73% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.