Recent Page Six reporting has elevated lesser-known actor Jack Barton as the surprise frontrunner after impressing director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold during an extensive UK search, driving his 19% market-implied probability. Trader consensus remains fragmented, however, with Jack Lowden (22.9%) benefiting from mid-August buzz over his Slow Horses spy experience and Richard Osman commentary, while established names like Callum Turner (15.5%) and Jack O’Connell (11.5%) draw support from prior screen-test rumors. The tightly bunched field reflects uncertainty ahead of early-September auditions involving Lowden, Turner, Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal, and Harris Dickinson. Producer Amy Pascal has indicated a likely announcement by year-end, keeping the “no Bond chosen” outcome (19.7%) viable until official word.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 22.9%
No Bond chosen 19.7%
Jack Barton 18.9%
Callum Turner 16%
$459,682 Wol.
$459,682 Wol.
Jack Lowden
23%
No Bond chosen
20%
Jack Barton
19%
Callum Turner
16%
Jack O'Connell
11%
Jacob Elordi
5%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Theo James
3%
Paul Mescal
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Richard Madden
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Jack Lowden 22.9%
No Bond chosen 19.7%
Jack Barton 18.9%
Callum Turner 16%
$459,682 Wol.
$459,682 Wol.
Jack Lowden
23%
No Bond chosen
20%
Jack Barton
19%
Callum Turner
16%
Jack O'Connell
11%
Jacob Elordi
5%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Theo James
3%
Paul Mescal
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Richard Madden
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Page Six reporting has elevated lesser-known actor Jack Barton as the surprise frontrunner after impressing director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold during an extensive UK search, driving his 19% market-implied probability. Trader consensus remains fragmented, however, with Jack Lowden (22.9%) benefiting from mid-August buzz over his Slow Horses spy experience and Richard Osman commentary, while established names like Callum Turner (15.5%) and Jack O’Connell (11.5%) draw support from prior screen-test rumors. The tightly bunched field reflects uncertainty ahead of early-September auditions involving Lowden, Turner, Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal, and Harris Dickinson. Producer Amy Pascal has indicated a likely announcement by year-end, keeping the “no Bond chosen” outcome (19.7%) viable until official word.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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