Mounting internal Labour Party pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and declining public support has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear market leader for the next prime minister. Burnham's allies report plans to contest a parliamentary by-election and potentially assume the role before the autumn party conference, backed by favorable polling among Labour members. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain distant contenders amid ongoing leadership speculation, while the scenario of no change through 2026 attracts secondary trader interest. These recent party dynamics highlight the fluid path to any 2026 transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 56.5%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,255,629 Wol.
$7,255,629 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
56%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.5%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,255,629 Wol.
$7,255,629 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
$571,192 Wol.
56%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
$381,237 Wol.
13%
Wes Streeting
$284,013 Wol.
10%
Angela Rayner
$472,816 Wol.
10%
Ed Miliband
$318,246 Wol.
7%
Al Carns
$213,083 Wol.
4%
Nigel Farage
$807,777 Wol.
1%
Shabana Mahmood
$298,443 Wol.
1%
Yvette Cooper
$282,640 Wol.
1%
Lucy Powell
$294,267 Wol.
<1%
Rupert Lowe
$689,923 Wol.
<1%
Rachel Reeves
$448,765 Wol.
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
$196,450 Wol.
<1%
Boris Johnson
$257,594 Wol.
<1%
Ed Davey
$352,678 Wol.
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
$135,226 Wol.
<1%
Robert Jenrick
$374,018 Wol.
<1%
David Lammy
$332,809 Wol.
<1%
James Cleverly
$296,449 Wol.
<1%
Darren Jones
$210,032 Wol.
<1%
John Healey
$38,441 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting internal Labour Party pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and declining public support has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear market leader for the next prime minister. Burnham's allies report plans to contest a parliamentary by-election and potentially assume the role before the autumn party conference, backed by favorable polling among Labour members. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain distant contenders amid ongoing leadership speculation, while the scenario of no change through 2026 attracts secondary trader interest. These recent party dynamics highlight the fluid path to any 2026 transition.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,255,629Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting internal Labour Party pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and declining public support has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear market leader for the next prime minister. Burnham's allies report plans to contest a parliamentary by-election and potentially assume the role before the autumn party conference, backed by favorable polling among Labour members. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain distant contenders amid ongoing leadership speculation, while the scenario of no change through 2026 attracts secondary trader interest. These recent party dynamics highlight the fluid path to any 2026 transition.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$7,255,629Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mounting internal Labour Party pressure on Keir Starmer following poor local election results and declining public support has positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear market leader for the next prime minister. Burnham's allies report plans to contest a parliamentary by-election and potentially assume the role before the autumn party conference, backed by favorable polling among Labour members. Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, and Ed Miliband remain distant contenders amid ongoing leadership speculation, while the scenario of no change through 2026 attracts secondary trader interest. These recent party dynamics highlight the fluid path to any 2026 transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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