Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, detained since US forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, amid charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking from a superseded 2020 indictment. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a March 26 hearing rejecting dismissal motions and affirming defense rights despite sanctions blocking his assets; US authorities recently permitted Venezuelan funds for legal fees. No release has occurred in the past 30 days, amid Venezuela's interim government's political prisoner releases and diplomatic demands for his return. Traders eye the June 30 court date for immunity arguments or trial scheduling, alongside potential extradition pressures or plea developments that could shift release probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2,617,973 Wol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 grudnia
15%
$2,617,973 Wol.
31 grudnia
$222,524 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, detained since US forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, amid charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking from a superseded 2020 indictment. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a March 26 hearing rejecting dismissal motions and affirming defense rights despite sanctions blocking his assets; US authorities recently permitted Venezuelan funds for legal fees. No release has occurred in the past 30 days, amid Venezuela's interim government's political prisoner releases and diplomatic demands for his return. Traders eye the June 30 court date for immunity arguments or trial scheduling, alongside potential extradition pressures or plea developments that could shift release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,617,973Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, detained since US forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, amid charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking from a superseded 2020 indictment. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a March 26 hearing rejecting dismissal motions and affirming defense rights despite sanctions blocking his assets; US authorities recently permitted Venezuelan funds for legal fees. No release has occurred in the past 30 days, amid Venezuela's interim government's political prisoner releases and diplomatic demands for his return. Traders eye the June 30 court date for immunity arguments or trial scheduling, alongside potential extradition pressures or plea developments that could shift release probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$2,617,973Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center, detained since US forces captured him in Caracas on January 3, 2026, amid charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking from a superseded 2020 indictment. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a March 26 hearing rejecting dismissal motions and affirming defense rights despite sanctions blocking his assets; US authorities recently permitted Venezuelan funds for legal fees. No release has occurred in the past 30 days, amid Venezuela's interim government's political prisoner releases and diplomatic demands for his return. Traders eye the June 30 court date for immunity arguments or trial scheduling, alongside potential extradition pressures or plea developments that could shift release probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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