Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming market consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at end-2026 due to her rapid consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro. Sworn in as acting president on January 5 with backing from the high court and security forces, she has installed loyalists in key posts, maintained Chavista institutional control, and pursued oil sector stabilization under U.S. oversight while navigating domestic challenges such as the June earthquakes. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or hiding, with no scheduled elections or major defections altering the interim arrangement through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this continuity amid limited near-term alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDelcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.0%
Dinorah Figuera 1.7%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$368,134 Wol.
$368,134 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.0%
Dinorah Figuera 1.7%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$368,134 Wol.
$368,134 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,568 Wol.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,368 Wol.
3%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 Wol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 Wol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 Wol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,960 Wol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 Wol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Wol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Wol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Wol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Wol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Wol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 Wol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Wol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Wol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming market consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at end-2026 due to her rapid consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro. Sworn in as acting president on January 5 with backing from the high court and security forces, she has installed loyalists in key posts, maintained Chavista institutional control, and pursued oil sector stabilization under U.S. oversight while navigating domestic challenges such as the June earthquakes. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or hiding, with no scheduled elections or major defections altering the interim arrangement through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this continuity amid limited near-term alternatives.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$368,134Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming market consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at end-2026 due to her rapid consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro. Sworn in as acting president on January 5 with backing from the high court and security forces, she has installed loyalists in key posts, maintained Chavista institutional control, and pursued oil sector stabilization under U.S. oversight while navigating domestic challenges such as the June earthquakes. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or hiding, with no scheduled elections or major defections altering the interim arrangement through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this continuity amid limited near-term alternatives.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Wolumen
$368,134Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming market consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at end-2026 due to her rapid consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro. Sworn in as acting president on January 5 with backing from the high court and security forces, she has installed loyalists in key posts, maintained Chavista institutional control, and pursued oil sector stabilization under U.S. oversight while navigating domestic challenges such as the June earthquakes. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or hiding, with no scheduled elections or major defections altering the interim arrangement through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this continuity amid limited near-term alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania