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icon for Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

icon for Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

8% szansa
Polymarket

$153,534 Wol.

8% szansa
Polymarket

$153,534 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pierre Poilievre remains the entrenched leader of the Conservative Party of Canada following a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-2025 election leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention.** The party increased its seat count despite the overall loss and Poilievre’s personal defeat in Carleton, with no organized caucus revolt or viable alternative candidate emerging in the months since. As of mid-June 2026, Poilievre continues to set the opposition agenda, including recent policy announcements such as removing the GST on used vehicles, while maintaining strong grassroots backing and active parliamentary engagement. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of his departure before the end of 2026, absent any sudden internal shift or electoral trigger.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$153,534
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pierre Poilievre remains the entrenched leader of the Conservative Party of Canada following a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-2025 election leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention.** The party increased its seat count despite the overall loss and Poilievre’s personal defeat in Carleton, with no organized caucus revolt or viable alternative candidate emerging in the months since. As of mid-June 2026, Poilievre continues to set the opposition agenda, including recent policy announcements such as removing the GST on used vehicles, while maintaining strong grassroots backing and active parliamentary engagement. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of his departure before the end of 2026, absent any sudden internal shift or electoral trigger.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$153,534
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 8% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 8¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 8% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?" wygenerował $153.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 5, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?" to 8% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 8% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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