SpaceX's post-IPO share price, which settled near levels implying a $1.7–2.1 trillion market capitalization after the June 2026 debut at $135 and early surge above $160, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range at end-August. Recent performance reflects Starlink subscriber growth and launch cadence, offset by elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue below $19 billion. The impending August lockup expiration releasing over 900 million shares introduces near-term supply pressure that could test support near $1.75T, while Starship milestones and competitive positioning in orbital services support resilience against deeper pullbacks. Market-implied odds price in these dynamics as the dominant factors ahead of month-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<$1.00T 66%
$1.75-$2.00T 62%
$2.25T+ 38%
$2.00-$2.25T 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
66%
$1.00-$1.25T
34%
$1.25-$1.50T
36%
$1.50-$1.75T
18%
$1.75-$2.00T
62%
$2.00-$2.25T
36%
$2.25T+
38%
<$1.00T 66%
$1.75-$2.00T 62%
$2.25T+ 38%
$2.00-$2.25T 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$10 Wol.
66%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Wol.
34%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Wol.
36%
$1.50-$1.75T
$2,084 Wol.
18%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Wol.
62%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Wol.
36%
$2.25T+
$0 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price, which settled near levels implying a $1.7–2.1 trillion market capitalization after the June 2026 debut at $135 and early surge above $160, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range at end-August. Recent performance reflects Starlink subscriber growth and launch cadence, offset by elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue below $19 billion. The impending August lockup expiration releasing over 900 million shares introduces near-term supply pressure that could test support near $1.75T, while Starship milestones and competitive positioning in orbital services support resilience against deeper pullbacks. Market-implied odds price in these dynamics as the dominant factors ahead of month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,094Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price, which settled near levels implying a $1.7–2.1 trillion market capitalization after the June 2026 debut at $135 and early surge above $160, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range at end-August. Recent performance reflects Starlink subscriber growth and launch cadence, offset by elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue below $19 billion. The impending August lockup expiration releasing over 900 million shares introduces near-term supply pressure that could test support near $1.75T, while Starship milestones and competitive positioning in orbital services support resilience against deeper pullbacks. Market-implied odds price in these dynamics as the dominant factors ahead of month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Wolumen
$2,094Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price, which settled near levels implying a $1.7–2.1 trillion market capitalization after the June 2026 debut at $135 and early surge above $160, anchors trader consensus around the $1.75–2.00T range at end-August. Recent performance reflects Starlink subscriber growth and launch cadence, offset by elevated valuation multiples relative to 2025 revenue below $19 billion. The impending August lockup expiration releasing over 900 million shares introduces near-term supply pressure that could test support near $1.75T, while Starship milestones and competitive positioning in orbital services support resilience against deeper pullbacks. Market-implied odds price in these dynamics as the dominant factors ahead of month-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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