Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests drives the market's assessment of a near-certain GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The state delivered a 29.7-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential race, maintains unified GOP control of the governorship and legislature, and features an open seat after term limits end Bill Lee's tenure. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while the Democratic primary field remains limited and regionally concentrated. The August 6 Republican primary among Marsha Blackburn, John Rose, and Monty Fritts determines the nominee, but polls and structural factors indicate the winner will enter the general with overwhelming support. A realistic shift would require an unexpected scandal, major national realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas that overcomes the state's baseline partisan tilt.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
5%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$4,154 Wol.
92%
Democrat
$2,128 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests drives the market's assessment of a near-certain GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The state delivered a 29.7-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential race, maintains unified GOP control of the governorship and legislature, and features an open seat after term limits end Bill Lee's tenure. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while the Democratic primary field remains limited and regionally concentrated. The August 6 Republican primary among Marsha Blackburn, John Rose, and Monty Fritts determines the nominee, but polls and structural factors indicate the winner will enter the general with overwhelming support. A realistic shift would require an unexpected scandal, major national realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas that overcomes the state's baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,282Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests drives the market's assessment of a near-certain GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The state delivered a 29.7-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential race, maintains unified GOP control of the governorship and legislature, and features an open seat after term limits end Bill Lee's tenure. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while the Democratic primary field remains limited and regionally concentrated. The August 6 Republican primary among Marsha Blackburn, John Rose, and Monty Fritts determines the nominee, but polls and structural factors indicate the winner will enter the general with overwhelming support. A realistic shift would require an unexpected scandal, major national realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas that overcomes the state's baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$6,282Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests drives the market's assessment of a near-certain GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The state delivered a 29.7-point Republican margin in the 2024 presidential race, maintains unified GOP control of the governorship and legislature, and features an open seat after term limits end Bill Lee's tenure. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while the Democratic primary field remains limited and regionally concentrated. The August 6 Republican primary among Marsha Blackburn, John Rose, and Monty Fritts determines the nominee, but polls and structural factors indicate the winner will enter the general with overwhelming support. A realistic shift would require an unexpected scandal, major national realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas that overcomes the state's baseline partisan tilt.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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