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icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Świat·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Świat·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Samiuela Vea 31%

Lei Paasi 29%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 26%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 26%

Polymarket
NOWE

Samiuela Vea 31%

Lei Paasi 29%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 26%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 26%

Polymarket
NOWE

Samiuela Vea

$29 Wol.

31%

Lei Paasi

$29 Wol.

29%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Wol.

26%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Wol.

26%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Wol.

24%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Wol.

22%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Wol.

22%

'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Wol.

20%

Mounu Uaisele

$399 Wol.

7%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026 after the Supreme Court unseated incumbent Semisi Sika on bribery convictions tied to the 2025 general election, features nine registered candidates following nominations in early September. All candidates, including Sika’s brother Alvin Lafu Sika and others such as 'Olioni Manoa, Malakai Matafonuafo’ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Mounu Uaisele, compete under first-past-the-post rules in a constituency encompassing parts of Kolofo’ou and nearby villages. Three prospective entrants withdrew to consolidate support behind one contender, while the absence of 'Uhilamoelangi Fasi—who successfully petitioned the prior result—adds further fragmentation. Trader consensus remains closely balanced because no candidate has yet demonstrated commanding village-level backing or organizational strength in the brief campaign window, with vote-splitting among independents and limited historical turnout data amplifying uncertainty ahead of polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Wolumen
$632
Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026 after the Supreme Court unseated incumbent Semisi Sika on bribery convictions tied to the 2025 general election, features nine registered candidates following nominations in early September. All candidates, including Sika’s brother Alvin Lafu Sika and others such as 'Olioni Manoa, Malakai Matafonuafo’ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Mounu Uaisele, compete under first-past-the-post rules in a constituency encompassing parts of Kolofo’ou and nearby villages. Three prospective entrants withdrew to consolidate support behind one contender, while the absence of 'Uhilamoelangi Fasi—who successfully petitioned the prior result—adds further fragmentation. Trader consensus remains closely balanced because no candidate has yet demonstrated commanding village-level backing or organizational strength in the brief campaign window, with vote-splitting among independents and limited historical turnout data amplifying uncertainty ahead of polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Wolumen
$632
Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Samiuela Vea" z 31%, za nim "Lei Paasi" z 28%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 31¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 31% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 9, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" jest "Samiuela Vea" z 31%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 31% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Lei Paasi" z 28%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.