Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrzywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Przywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,271,465 Wol.
$88,271,465 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Brak głowy państwa
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,271,465 Wol.
$88,271,465 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,706,096 Wol.
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,597,793 Wol.
21%
María Corina Machado
$1,056,773 Wol.
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,003,219 Wol.
1%
Edmundo González
$828,067 Wol.
1%
Donald Trump
$913,215 Wol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,685,666 Wol.
1%
Brak głowy państwa
$1,078,234 Wol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,339,330 Wol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$666,521 Wol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,165,407 Wol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,572,859 Wol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$981,562 Wol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,600,813 Wol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,057,050 Wol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,018,860 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$88,271,465Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Wolumen
$88,271,465Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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