Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
No Replacement 85.1%
Italy 6.7%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$30,526 Wol.
$30,526 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
85%
Italy
7%
UAE
4%
Other
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 85.1%
Italy 6.7%
UAE 4.4%
Other <1%
$30,526 Wol.
$30,526 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$8,328 Wol.
85%
Italy
$15,316 Wol.
7%
UAE
$2,961 Wol.
4%
Other
$2,280 Wol.
1%
Bolivia
$1,641 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$30,526Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$30,526Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices "No Replacement" for Iran at an 85.1% implied probability in the FIFA World Cup 2026 market, reflecting FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April confirmation of their participation despite US-Iran tensions and a rejected April proposal by a Trump envoy to install Italy. Iran secured an AFC qualification slot, drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, with fixtures including a June 15 opener versus New Zealand at SoFi Stadium. Recent Iranian FA chief Mehdi Taj's May 15 call for tournament guarantees and potential withdrawal threats have not shifted sentiment, as prior signals fizzled without action. UAE trails at 4.3% as the top AFC non-qualifier, while Italy lingers at 6.3%. Overturning this would demand escalated sanctions, voluntary pullout, or rare FIFA intervention overriding qualification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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