Trader consensus prices USA at 40.5% to win Group D, closely trailed by Türkiye at 36%, reflecting the co-hosts' home-soil edges in their opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium and a subsequent Seattle clash with Australia, tempered by recent friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal that exposed defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino. Türkiye's momentum from a gritty playoff victory over Kosovo, powered by Hakan Çalhanoğlu's creative midfield control and Vincenzo Montella's attacking setup, has fueled their surge, positioning them as legitimate challengers in a matchup rich with stylistic contrasts. Paraguay's robust qualifying campaign—capped by upsets over Brazil and Argentina—plus a recent all-clear for midfielder Diego Gómez's knee, sustains their 17.5% viability via Gustavo Alfaro's disciplined counter-threat, while Australia's healthy squad and set-piece lethality under Tony Popovic lag at 7.5% amid tougher fixtures. No major injuries mar the past week's intense training camps, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this unpredictable group stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFIFA World Cup Group D Winner
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.5%
$44,221 Wol.
$44,221 Wol.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.5%
$44,221 Wol.
$44,221 Wol.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA at 40.5% to win Group D, closely trailed by Türkiye at 36%, reflecting the co-hosts' home-soil edges in their opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium and a subsequent Seattle clash with Australia, tempered by recent friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal that exposed defensive vulnerabilities under Mauricio Pochettino. Türkiye's momentum from a gritty playoff victory over Kosovo, powered by Hakan Çalhanoğlu's creative midfield control and Vincenzo Montella's attacking setup, has fueled their surge, positioning them as legitimate challengers in a matchup rich with stylistic contrasts. Paraguay's robust qualifying campaign—capped by upsets over Brazil and Argentina—plus a recent all-clear for midfielder Diego Gómez's knee, sustains their 17.5% viability via Gustavo Alfaro's disciplined counter-threat, while Australia's healthy squad and set-piece lethality under Tony Popovic lag at 7.5% amid tougher fixtures. No major injuries mar the past week's intense training camps, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this unpredictable group stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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