Several potential candidates for the 2028 presidential election have begun early positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, with no major formal announcements recorded as of mid-May 2026. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have drawn attention through visits to Iowa and donor outreach, while figures such as former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom remain prominent in Democratic discussions. Traders assess timing risks tied to midterm results, possible Trump endorsements, and primary-state activity that could trigger earlier declarations. Historical patterns show most serious contenders file with the FEC or launch exploratory efforts in the year before primaries, leaving room for late-2026 developments to shift probabilities before the 2027 cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$644,327 Wol.

Kamala Harris
21%

Pete Buttigieg
20%

Matt Gaetz
16%

J.B. Pritzker
19%

Steve Bannon
18%

Mark Kelly
17%

Ron DeSantis
16%

Gavin Newsom
15%

Rahm Emanuel
15%

Tucker Carlson
15%

Brian Kemp
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Beto O’Rourke
13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Greg Abbott
13%

Andy Beshear
13%

John Fetterman
12%

Ted Cruz
12%

Josh Hawley
11%

Gina Raimondo
11%

Liz Cheney
11%

Marco Rubio
11%

Jared Polis
11%

Gretchen Whitmer
11%

Oprah Winfrey
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Stephen A. Smith
11%

J.D. Vance
11%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Candace Owens
10%

Jon Ossoff
10%

Tom Brady
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

Byron Donalds
10%

Raphael Warnock
10%

Josh Shapiro
10%

Kristi Noem
11%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Mark Cuban
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Tim Walz
9%

George Clooney
9%

Wes Moore
8%

John Thune
8%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Don Lemon
8%

Cory Booker
7%

Tulsi Gabbard
10%

Donald Trump
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Kim Kardashian
7%

Ivanka Trump
7%

Katie Britt
7%

Erika Kirk
6%

Hunter Biden
6%

Bernie Sanders
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Michelle Obama
5%

Zohran Mamdani
5%

Elise Stefanik
5%

Barack Obama
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hillary Clinton
4%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%

Mike Pence
3%

Jon Stewart
3%

Chelsea Clinton
3%

LeBron James
2%

Phil Murphy
2%

MrBeast
2%
$644,327 Wol.

Kamala Harris
21%

Pete Buttigieg
20%

Matt Gaetz
16%

J.B. Pritzker
19%

Steve Bannon
18%

Mark Kelly
17%

Ron DeSantis
16%

Gavin Newsom
15%

Rahm Emanuel
15%

Tucker Carlson
15%

Brian Kemp
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Beto O’Rourke
13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%

Greg Abbott
13%

Andy Beshear
13%

John Fetterman
12%

Ted Cruz
12%

Josh Hawley
11%

Gina Raimondo
11%

Liz Cheney
11%

Marco Rubio
11%

Jared Polis
11%

Gretchen Whitmer
11%

Oprah Winfrey
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Stephen A. Smith
11%

J.D. Vance
11%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Candace Owens
10%

Jon Ossoff
10%

Tom Brady
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

Byron Donalds
10%

Raphael Warnock
10%

Josh Shapiro
10%

Kristi Noem
11%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Mark Cuban
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Tim Walz
9%

George Clooney
9%

Wes Moore
8%

John Thune
8%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Don Lemon
8%

Cory Booker
7%

Tulsi Gabbard
10%

Donald Trump
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Kim Kardashian
7%

Ivanka Trump
7%

Katie Britt
7%

Erika Kirk
6%

Hunter Biden
6%

Bernie Sanders
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Michelle Obama
5%

Zohran Mamdani
5%

Elise Stefanik
5%

Barack Obama
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hillary Clinton
4%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%

Mike Pence
3%

Jon Stewart
3%

Chelsea Clinton
3%

LeBron James
2%

Phil Murphy
2%

MrBeast
2%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several potential candidates for the 2028 presidential election have begun early positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, with no major formal announcements recorded as of mid-May 2026. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have drawn attention through visits to Iowa and donor outreach, while figures such as former Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom remain prominent in Democratic discussions. Traders assess timing risks tied to midterm results, possible Trump endorsements, and primary-state activity that could trigger earlier declarations. Historical patterns show most serious contenders file with the FEC or launch exploratory efforts in the year before primaries, leaving room for late-2026 developments to shift probabilities before the 2027 cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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