Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$17,886 Wol.
$17,886 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
$17,886 Wol.
$17,886 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,874 Wol.
82%
Democratic Party
$9,011 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,886Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,886Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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