Ilhan Omar holds naturalized U.S. citizenship obtained in 2000 after arriving as a refugee, and federal law requires a formal denaturalization proceeding in court—typically initiated by the Department of Justice with proof of fraud during the naturalization process—before any deportation becomes legally possible. No such case has been filed despite longstanding political allegations of immigration irregularities and recent statements from President Trump highlighting an ICE review of related records. Trader pricing at 96.5% for “No” reflects the absence of active enforcement actions, the high evidentiary bar for revoking citizenship, and the extended timeline any successful denaturalization would require. Potential shifts could stem only from an unprecedented court ruling within the calendar year or newly disclosed primary evidence triggering immediate DOJ proceedings.