The 92% market-implied probability for "No" on a public exhibition of the Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by December 31, 2026, reflects the painting’s extended absence from view since its 2011–2012 National Gallery showing and its current status in private storage. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the work has remained out of circulation following the cancellation of its planned Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, with reports confirming it is held in Geneva awaiting completion of a Riyadh museum whose timeline remains uncertain and post-2026. No institutional announcements, loan agreements, or credible reports of imminent display have surfaced, consistent with the deliberate, multi-year rollout typical of major Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030. While an unexpected last-minute loan or accelerated opening could theoretically shift the outcome, the absence of precursor signals or confirmed scheduling continues to anchor trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
10% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
10% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The 92% market-implied probability for "No" on a public exhibition of the Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by December 31, 2026, reflects the painting’s extended absence from view since its 2011–2012 National Gallery showing and its current status in private storage. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the work has remained out of circulation following the cancellation of its planned Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, with reports confirming it is held in Geneva awaiting completion of a Riyadh museum whose timeline remains uncertain and post-2026. No institutional announcements, loan agreements, or credible reports of imminent display have surfaced, consistent with the deliberate, multi-year rollout typical of major Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030. While an unexpected last-minute loan or accelerated opening could theoretically shift the outcome, the absence of precursor signals or confirmed scheduling continues to anchor trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,573Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The 92% market-implied probability for "No" on a public exhibition of the Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by December 31, 2026, reflects the painting’s extended absence from view since its 2011–2012 National Gallery showing and its current status in private storage. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the work has remained out of circulation following the cancellation of its planned Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, with reports confirming it is held in Geneva awaiting completion of a Riyadh museum whose timeline remains uncertain and post-2026. No institutional announcements, loan agreements, or credible reports of imminent display have surfaced, consistent with the deliberate, multi-year rollout typical of major Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030. While an unexpected last-minute loan or accelerated opening could theoretically shift the outcome, the absence of precursor signals or confirmed scheduling continues to anchor trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
Wolumen
$2,573Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 92% market-implied probability for "No" on a public exhibition of the Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by December 31, 2026, reflects the painting’s extended absence from view since its 2011–2012 National Gallery showing and its current status in private storage. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the work has remained out of circulation following the cancellation of its planned Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, with reports confirming it is held in Geneva awaiting completion of a Riyadh museum whose timeline remains uncertain and post-2026. No institutional announcements, loan agreements, or credible reports of imminent display have surfaced, consistent with the deliberate, multi-year rollout typical of major Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030. While an unexpected last-minute loan or accelerated opening could theoretically shift the outcome, the absence of precursor signals or confirmed scheduling continues to anchor trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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