The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on the presidency creates formidable structural barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states—a threshold unmet for targeted presidential changes in modern history. As of mid-2026, introduced resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 remain stalled in committee with no floor action or state-level momentum, while President Trump has publicly indicated he will not pursue efforts to circumvent the restriction. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these procedural realities and the absence of bipartisan support or crisis-driven urgency that historically enabled amendments. Late-session legislative shifts, unexpected state conventions, or major realignments in congressional control could theoretically alter the trajectory before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$13,082 Wol.
$13,082 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% szansa
$13,082 Wol.
$13,082 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on the presidency creates formidable structural barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states—a threshold unmet for targeted presidential changes in modern history. As of mid-2026, introduced resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 remain stalled in committee with no floor action or state-level momentum, while President Trump has publicly indicated he will not pursue efforts to circumvent the restriction. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these procedural realities and the absence of bipartisan support or crisis-driven urgency that historically enabled amendments. Late-session legislative shifts, unexpected state conventions, or major realignments in congressional control could theoretically alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,082Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on the presidency creates formidable structural barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states—a threshold unmet for targeted presidential changes in modern history. As of mid-2026, introduced resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 remain stalled in committee with no floor action or state-level momentum, while President Trump has publicly indicated he will not pursue efforts to circumvent the restriction. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these procedural realities and the absence of bipartisan support or crisis-driven urgency that historically enabled amendments. Late-session legislative shifts, unexpected state conventions, or major realignments in congressional control could theoretically alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Wolumen
$13,082Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on the presidency creates formidable structural barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states—a threshold unmet for targeted presidential changes in modern history. As of mid-2026, introduced resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 remain stalled in committee with no floor action or state-level momentum, while President Trump has publicly indicated he will not pursue efforts to circumvent the restriction. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these procedural realities and the absence of bipartisan support or crisis-driven urgency that historically enabled amendments. Late-session legislative shifts, unexpected state conventions, or major realignments in congressional control could theoretically alter the trajectory before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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