Jannik Sinner's trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability as 2026 Wimbledon favorite stems from his unchallenged World No. 1 ranking, recent Madrid Masters 1000 title over Alexander Zverev, and guaranteed top seeding through the grass-court swing after strong Rome showings. Carlos Alcaraz's 15.5% reflects lingering right wrist injury forcing withdrawals from Rome and Roland Garros, tempering his grass prowess despite prior Wimbledon triumphs. Novak Djokovic's drop to 7.9% follows shoulder woes sidelining him from Miami and Madrid, plus an early Italian Open exit, raising doubts on his 39-year-old form for the All England Club. Zverev at 3.8% benefits from ATP No. 3 consistency but trails Sinner head-to-head lately, with the field eyeing grass prep at Queen's and Halle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 53%
Carlos Alcaraz 16%
Novak Djokovic 7.9%
Alexander Zverev 3.8%
$4,394,149 Vol.
$4,394,149 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
53%
Carlos Alcaraz
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Ben Shelton
2%
Alexei Popyrin
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomáš Macháč
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jannik Sinner 53%
Carlos Alcaraz 16%
Novak Djokovic 7.9%
Alexander Zverev 3.8%
$4,394,149 Vol.
$4,394,149 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
53%
Carlos Alcaraz
16%
Novak Djokovic
8%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Ben Shelton
2%
Alexei Popyrin
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomáš Macháč
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability as 2026 Wimbledon favorite stems from his unchallenged World No. 1 ranking, recent Madrid Masters 1000 title over Alexander Zverev, and guaranteed top seeding through the grass-court swing after strong Rome showings. Carlos Alcaraz's 15.5% reflects lingering right wrist injury forcing withdrawals from Rome and Roland Garros, tempering his grass prowess despite prior Wimbledon triumphs. Novak Djokovic's drop to 7.9% follows shoulder woes sidelining him from Miami and Madrid, plus an early Italian Open exit, raising doubts on his 39-year-old form for the All England Club. Zverev at 3.8% benefits from ATP No. 3 consistency but trails Sinner head-to-head lately, with the field eyeing grass prep at Queen's and Halle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions